Finally – Home Prices Are Starting to Cool. Here's What That Means for You
If you've been sitting on the sidelines waiting for your chance to buy a home, or wondering if you should sell yours, the market just shifted in a big way. Oakland home prices just dropped 6.8% compared to last year, and it's not alone. Thirteen other major metros are seeing the same thing; Austin, West Palm Beach, and more. Nationally, prices are barely up 2% from last June, and experts are predicting a 1% drop by December.
Here's what's really happening: homes are sitting on the market longer, asking prices just hit a five-month low, and the typical mortgage payment dropped to $2,671, the lowest since January. Inventory is up nearly 9%, which means buyers finally have more choices than they've had in years. If you're thinking about buying or selling, this changes everything.
If you're a buyer, your time is finally here. For the first time in years, you have real negotiating power. Remember when sellers wouldn't even look at offers with inspection contingencies? Those days are over. You can now ask for repairs, closing cost help, or even negotiate for the seller to buy down your interest rate. Multiple offer situations are becoming rare, and you actually have time to think about your decision instead of rushing into bidding wars.
If you're a seller, it's time for a reality check. If you listed your home this spring expecting multiple offers over the weekend, you need to adjust your expectations. The good news? There are still buyers out there. The reality? They're pickier now, and they have options. Your home needs to stand out, and that starts with realistic pricing from day one.
Key things to watch: when there are more than four months of homes available in your area, buyers really start calling the shots. Interest rates are hovering around 6.75% now – if the Federal Reserve cuts rates, you could see buyer demand spike quickly. And if you're a buyer, pay attention to homes that have reduced their prices, because these sellers are getting serious about selling.
Markets change, and opportunities like this don't come around often for buyers. If you've been waiting for home prices to become more reasonable, or for sellers to start negotiating again, that time is now. Don't wait for the "perfect" moment – it doesn't exist. But this moment is pretty good for buyers, and sellers who understand the new reality can still win.
The question isn't whether the market is different now, it is. The question is: what are you going to do about it? Whether you're buying or selling, the power dynamics have shifted, and understanding that shift is the first step to making smart decisions in this new market reality.
Disclaimer: This article shares general information only. It is not financial or real estate advice. Always talk with a licensed financial advisor or real estate agent before you act. I am not responsible for any results of your choices.
Sources:
Redfin Market Data Reports, June 2025
National Association of Realtors Market Statistics
Mortgage Bankers Association Payment Data
Federal Housing Finance Agency Market Reports